Murat's Musings

It’s the credit, stupid!

Date:17Sep2017

Turkey’s new GDP series, released last December, has become a constant source of contention, debate and even agony amongst the analyst community.  The latest comments coming from Commerzbank

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Mystery of the Missing Inflation

Date:14Sep2017

Nouriel Robini wrote on this very hot and pertinent topic in a Project Syndicate column, which is worth taking stock. His take? No one knows what the causes of “lowflation” are, so

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Chinese Debt: Should we be or not be scared?

Date:30Aug2017

Concerns over the Chinese debt-growth nexus appear to have subsided again, which is greatly helping the broader EM environment. China is somehow managing to grow at 6%+ rate (IMF forecast for

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Fischer’s lunch with the FT…and links on low rates

Date:20Aug2017

Fed Vice–Chair Stan Fischer has had lunch with the FT, which is featured in FT’s August 19-20 weekend issue. Lots of interesting stuff… In the interview, “Fischer agrees with Greenspan, saying

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Robots and Jobs…

Date:15Aug2017

This “robot and jobs” stuff is getting exceedingly interesting especially for old-fashioned economists such as myself (who only know how to work with macro “identities”).  This

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US Economy, the laggard?

Date:31Jul2017

“The clear message is that the U.S. — the richest nation on Earth, as is frequently proclaimed, although it’s actually not the richest per capita — is increasingly

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Mixed findings on lira’s fair value

Date:28Jul2017

Lira has depreciated sharply in recent years — by some 25% in nominal terms (against a ‘basket’ that comprises 50% euro and 50% dollar) over the past year or so, and some 50% in

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World according to Martin Wolf

Date:22Jul2017

In 7 charts, Martin Wolf, FT’s Chief Econ Editor, shows the profound changes the world economy is undergoing and it is faced with. These are the rising share of Asia in global output, changing

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Economics in Transition

Date:01Jul2017

In a recent Project Syndicate article, Prof. Diane Coyle of Manchester University reviews three (critical) books on the state of economics, namely Andrew Lo’s Adaptive Markets; a collection of

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Three reasons behind low inflation

Date:28Jun2017

In this perceptive article, as he warns against repeating Japan’s mistakes, Stephen Roach gives three reasons as to why inflation remains low, which are in a nutshell globalization (or the

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