A Shift in Power: CHP Win Ushers in Recalibration in Turkish Politics

Source:Wilson Center Date:11Apr2024

by Yusuf  Can

The CHP defeated leading AKP in a surprise reversal in Turkey’s municipalities. Driven by worsening economic conditions, voters supported CHP’s welfare policies. This will mark a major reset in Turkish politics during the four years until the next presidential election.

Imamoglu’s victory marks a significant shift. According to Kemal Buyukyuksel, Senior Analyst at the CHP Electoral Strategy Office, Imamoglu’s success, in addition to his popular policies in Istanbul, stems from his ability to extend the social democratic CHP’s appeal beyond its typical base of support (usually 25% of voters), attracting conservative and Kurdish voters alike. Buyukyuksel attributes this success to Imamoglu’s focus on impactful policies over grand projects aimed at public relations, as well as his unifying personality.

The Turkish local elections will usher in a period of political recalibration in Turkey, with the next presidential election four years down the road. This shift will prompt the global community to reevaluate its stance towards Turkey in light of emerging leaders and evolving political landscapes. The opposition’s significant win provides a boost of morale, hope, and encouragement, particularly for those worried about the erosion of democratic principles in the nation. For Erdogan, the challenge ahead lies in tackling an economy that desperately requires intervention, presenting a steep climb.